2026 Midterm Election Odds & Predictions

Polymarket Prediction Hub

Democrats have a 60% chance of controlling the Senate

47 current53 current

There’s a 61% chance
Democrats sweep the Midterms

Key Races5

Texas Senate

Talarico (D) v. Paxton (R)

Turek (D) v. Hinson (R)

Brown (D) v. Husted (R)

Alaska Senate

Peltola (D) v. Sullivan (R)

Maine Senate

Jackson (D) v. Collins (R)

Polymap

There’s a 61% chance
Democrats sweep the Midterms

There’s a 61% chance
Democrats sweep the Midterms

Key Races5

National Outcomes

Conditionals

All markets

MIDTERMS 2026

There’s a 61% chanceDemocrats sweep the Midterms

There’s a 61% chanceDemocrats sweep the Midterms

Key Races5

National Outcomes

U.S House Midterm Winner

U.S Senate Midterm Winner

2026 Midterms: Republican Senate Seats?

2026 Midterms: Republican House Seats?

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Winner?

Conditionals

Senate Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine

Senate Combo: Texas and Maine

Texas Senate and Governor Combo

Minnesota Senate and Governor Combo

Georgia Senate and Governor Combo

All markets

U.S House Midterm Winner

U.S Senate Midterm Winner

Texas Senate Election Winner

Iowa Senate Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Maine Senate Election Winner

Georgia Governor Election Winner

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Michigan Senate Election Winner

2026 Midterms: Republican Senate Seats?

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

There’s a 61% chance
Democrats sweep the Midterms

There’s a 61% chance
Democrats sweep the Midterms