This market will settle to Yes if the daily 2-year Treasury par yield curve rate for November 13, 2026 is greater than or equal to 4.30%. Outcome sourced from the United States Department of the Treasury.
This market settles based on the Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates published daily by the U.S. Department of the Treasury at: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve
This market lets you trade on the outcome of 2-YR Treasury Yield on November 13?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.