Econ

Fed Decision in October

Wed, Oct 28Fed
No Change
1.25x
25 bps Increase
5.0x
5 markets

Fed Rate Cut in 2026?

Thu, Dec 31Fed
Yes
11.11x
No
1.09x

Elon Musk Net Worth on December 31?

Thu, Dec 31Business
Above $600 Billion
1.09x
Above $700 Billion
1.19x
8 markets

What Will Elon's Net Worth Hit By December 31?

Thu, Dec 31Business
$1.05 Trillion
1.15x
$1.1 Trillion
1.28x
7 markets

Elon Musk Announced Out As Tesla CEO?

Thu, Dec 31Business
Yes
14.29x
No
1.06x

Sam Altman Announced Out As OpenAI CEO?

Thu, Dec 31Business
Yes
20.0x
No
1.04x

Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed?

Wed, Jun 30Business
June 30, 2027
1.16x
December 31, 2026
1.25x
4 markets

Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026?

Thu, Dec 31Business
Anthropic
1.2x
Discord
10.0x
24 markets

OpenAI IPO Officially Confirmed?

Wed, Jun 30Business
June 30, 2027
1.35x
December 31, 2026
25.0x
4 markets

CPI YoY in September

Wed, Oct 14US Econ
Above 2.9%
1.01x
Above 3.0%
1.01x
12 markets

CPI MoM in September

Wed, Oct 14US Econ
Above 0.0%
1.01x
Above 0.1%
1.01x
9 markets

Dario Amodei Announced Out as Anthropic CEO?

Thu, Dec 31Business
Yes
14.29x
No
1.06x

Fed Decision in December

Wed, Dec 9Meetings
25 bps Increase
1.39x
No Change
4.0x
5 markets

US GDP Growth in 2026?

Fri, Jan 29
Above 2.6%
Above 3.0%
7 markets

US GDP Growth in Q3 2026?

Thu, Oct 29US Econ
Above 0.0%
1.01x
Above 0.5%
1.01x
6 markets

Core CPI YoY in September

Wed, Oct 14US Econ
Above 2.1%
1.01x
Above 2.2%
1.01x
15 markets

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

Wed, Oct 28
No Change
1.45x
25 bps Increase
3.57x
5 markets

Core CPI MoM in September

Wed, Oct 14US Econ
Above -0.1%
1.01x
Above -0.2%
1.01x
8 markets

How High Will US Gas Prices Get in 2026?

Thu, Dec 31Commodities
Above $4.60
2.0x
Above $4.80
2.78x
6 markets

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

Wed, Oct 21
No Change
1.09x
25 bps Decrease
25.0x
5 markets

Another Fed Rate Hike in 2026?

Thu, Dec 31Fed Rates
Yes
1.35x
No
3.7x

How Low Will US Gas Prices Get in 2026?

Thu, Dec 31Commodities
Below $4.00
1.45x
Below $3.80
3.13x
6 markets

Fed Rate Cut Greater Than 25bps?

Thu, Dec 31Fed
Yes
16.67x
No
1.05x

Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?

Sat, Oct 31
Above $800 Billion
1.09x
Above $850 Billion
1.33x
9 markets

Fed Funds Rate at the End of 2027?

Fri, Dec 31Fed Rates
3.25% Or Above
3.50% Or Above
9 markets

Which Central Banks Will Cut by Dec. 31?

Thu, Dec 31Rates
Central Bank of Brazil
1.01x
Bank of Russia
1.67x
9 markets

Bank of England Decision in November?

Thu, Nov 5Rates
25 bps Increase
1.01x
25 bps Decrease
5 markets

Which Central Banks Will Hike by Dec. 31?

Thu, Dec 31Rates
Central Bank of Brazil
Bank of Canada
9 markets

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

Fri, Oct 30Rates
25 bps Decrease
50+ bps Decrease
5 markets

Bank of Russia Decision in October?

Fri, Oct 23Rates
25 bps Decrease
50+ bps Decrease
5 markets

Bank of Brazil Decision in November?

Wed, Nov 4Brazil
25 bps Decrease
50+ bps Decrease
5 markets