Politics

U.S Senate Midterm Winner

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Republican Party
1.84x
Democratic Party
2.17x
2 markets

U.S House Midterm Winner

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Democratic Party
1.19x
Republican Party
5.65x
2 markets

Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner?

Tue, Aug 11Primaries
Mike Lindell
1.35x
Lisa Demuth
2.94x
3 markets

South Carolina Senate Republican Special Primary Winner?

Tue, Aug 11Primaries
Darline Graham Nordone
2.08x
Russell Fry
3.85x
12 markets

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Tue, Aug 11Primaries
Francesca Hong
1.05x
David Crowley
14.29x
6 markets

Minnesota Senate Democratic Primary Winner

Tue, Aug 11Primaries
Peggy Flanagan
1.35x
Angie Craig
3.33x
2 markets

Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal?

Mon, Aug 31Geopolitics
By August 31
8.33x
By July 15
4 markets

Clacton By-Election Winner

Thu, Aug 13International
Count Binface
50.0x
Nigel Farage
2 markets

Texas Senate Election Winner

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Ken Paxton (Rep)
1.92x
James Talarico (Dem)
2.04x
2 markets

LA Mayoral Election Winner

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Karen Bass
1.54x
Nithya Raman
2.33x
2 markets

California Governor Election Winner

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Xavier Becerra
1.04x
Steve Hilton
20.0x
2 markets

Maine Senate Election Winner

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Democratic Party
1.52x
Republican Party
2.63x
2 markets

Save Act Becomes Law?

Thu, Dec 31US
By December 31, 2026
7.14x
By August 31, 2026
50.0x
2 markets

Who Will Be Announced Out of Trump Admin in 2026?

Thu, Dec 31US
Russell Vought
2.17x
Steve Witkoff
2.27x
17 markets

2026 Midterms: Republican Senate Seats?

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
51
2.94x
50
3.57x
13 markets

2026 Midterms: Republican House Seats?

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
180+
1.19x
185+
1.22x
12 markets

Prime Minister of Israel After the Next Election

Tue, Oct 27International
Gadi Eizenkot
1.67x
Benjamin Netanyahu
2.33x
10 markets

2027 French Presidential Election Winner

Sun, Apr 11International
Marine Le Pen
3.13x
Edouard Philippe
4.17x
11 markets

2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner

Sun, Oct 4International
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva
1.39x
Flavio Bolsonaro
3.57x
7 markets

Pete Hegseth Announced Out as Secretary of War?

Thu, Dec 31US
By December 31, 2026
3.23x
By August 31, 2026
16.67x
3 markets

Samuel Alito Announced Out as SCOTUS Justice?

Thu, Dec 31US
By December 31, 2026
5.88x
By August 31, 2026
50.0x
3 markets

Kash Patel Announced Out as FBI Director?

Thu, Dec 31US
By December 31, 2026
2.44x
By August 31, 2026
14.29x
3 markets

Mitch McConnell Resigns?

Mon, Nov 2US
Before the Midterms
7.69x
1 market

Trump Resigns?

Fri, Dec 31US
By December 31, 2027
3.45x
By December 31, 2026
9.09x
2 markets

Trump Impeached?

Wed, Jun 30US
By June 30, 2027
2.0x
By December 31, 2026
14.29x
2 markets

Who Will Announce a Presidential Run in 2026?

Thu, Dec 31US
Hillary Clinton
2.04x
Gavin Newsom
4.35x
33 markets

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Sun, Oct 24International
Javier Milei
1.54x
Axel Kicillof
1.85x
11 markets

What Will Be in a US-Iran Deal in 2026?

Thu, Dec 31Geopolitics
Dilution of Iran's Uranium
2.86x
Uranium Enrichment % Cap
2.86x
6 markets

Bab el-Mandeb Strait Effectively Closed?

Thu, Dec 31Geopolitics
By December 31, 2026
4.76x
By August 31, 2026
12.5x
3 markets

US Withdraws From NATO?

Thu, Dec 31Geopolitics
By December 31, 2026
33.33x
By July 31, 2026
2 markets

Delcy Rodriguez Officially Out as Venezuela President?

Wed, Jun 30International
By December 31, 2026
4.76x
By June 30, 2027
2 markets

Zelenskyy Officially Out as Ukraine President?

Wed, Jun 30International
By December 31, 2026
6.67x
By June 30, 2027
2 markets

Putin Meets With Zelenskyy?

Thu, Dec 31Geopolitics
By December 31, 2026
2.27x
By September 30, 2026
12.5x
3 markets

Who will Trump meet with by the end of 2026?

Thu, Dec 31US
Elon Musk
1.03x
Xi Jinping
1.03x
13 markets

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Sherrod Brown (Dem)
1.96x
Jon Husted (Rep)
2.04x
2 markets

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Amy Acton (Dem)
1.92x
Vivek Ramaswamy (Rep)
2.0x
2 markets

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Democratic Party
1.75x
Republican Party
2.27x
2 markets

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
At Least 130 Million
2.5x
125-130 Million
2.7x
10 markets

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Winner?

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Democratic Party
1.32x
Republican Party
9.09x
2 markets

California Billionaire Wealth Tax Referendum

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Passes?
3.13x
1 market