Politics

Build Your Map: AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX

Tue, Nov 3kansas
Democrats sweep all 7
1.02x
R: AK D: IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX
35.71x
3 markets

2028 US Presidential Election Winner

Tue, Nov 7US Politics
Jon Ossoff
3.85x
JD Vance
6.67x
27 markets

Alaska Senate Election Winner

70% countedPeltola leads by 637 votes
Mary Peltola (D)
1.03x
Dan Sullivan (R)
33.33x
2 markets

2026 Midterms: Republican Senate Seats?

Tue, Nov 3US Politics
45 Or Less
1.01x
46
100.0x
2 markets

Prime Minister of Israel After the Next Election

Tue, Oct 27International Politics
Gadi Eizenkot
1.61x
Avigdor Lieberman
4.35x
10 markets

2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee

Thu, Aug 10US Politics
Jon Ossoff
3.7x
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
6.67x
17 markets

US Confirms That Aliens Exist?

Thu, Dec 31Science
Yes
25.0x
No
1.03x

2028 Republican Presidential Nominee

Thu, Aug 10US Politics
JD Vance
3.03x
Marco Rubio
4.35x
14 markets

California Billionaire Wealth Tax Referendum

Tue, Nov 3US Politics
Yes
100.0x
No

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

95% countedColom leads by 2.6K votes
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)
100.0x
Scott Colom (D)
2 markets

Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal?

Mon, Aug 31International Politics
Yes
9.09x
No
1.11x

Who Will Announce a Presidential Run in 2026?

Thu, Dec 31US Politics
Rahm Emanuel
2.7x
Pete Buttigieg
6.25x
33 markets

Trump Impeached?

Wed, Jun 30US Politics
Yes
25.0x
No
1.03x

Save Act Becomes Law?

Thu, Dec 31US Politics
Yes
25.0x
No
1.03x

2026 Midterms: Republican House Seats?

Tue, Nov 3US Politics
180+
14.29x
185+
50.0x
6 markets

Kansas Governor Election Winner

95% countedHolscher leads by 7.6K votes
Ty Masterson (R)
100.0x
Cindy Holscher (D)
2 markets

Pete Hegseth Announced Out as Secretary of War?

Thu, Dec 31US Politics
Yes
2.63x
No
1.59x

2027 French Presidential Election Winner

Sun, Apr 11International Politics
Marine Le Pen
1.96x
David Lisnard
5.88x
11 markets

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Winner?

Tue, Nov 3US Politics
Republican Party
33.33x
Democratic Party
2 markets

Crypto Market Structure Legislation Becomes Law?

Thu, Dec 31US Politics
Yes
20.0x
No
1.04x

Alaska Governor Election Winner

69% countedKreiss-Tomkins leads by 42K votes
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
1.01x
Bernadette Wilson
50.0x
7 markets

US Withdraws From NATO?

Thu, Dec 31International Politics
Yes
50.0x
No
1.01x

Who Will Be Announced Out of Their Trump Admin Role in 2026?

Thu, Dec 31US Politics
Susie Wiles
1.0x
Pete Hegseth
2.63x
16 markets

What Will Be in a US-Iran Deal in 2026?

Thu, Dec 31International Politics
Dilution of Iran's Uranium
7.69x
5% Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)
8.33x
6 markets

Samuel Alito Announced Out as SCOTUS Justice?

Thu, Dec 31US Politics
Yes
16.67x
No
1.05x

Bab el-Mandeb Strait Effectively Closed?

Thu, Dec 31International Politics
Yes
7.69x
No
1.14x

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Sun, Oct 24International Politics
Javier Milei
2.17x
Axel Kicillof
2.94x
11 markets

Who will Trump meet with by the end of 2026?

Thu, Dec 31US Politics
Vladimir Putin
1.16x
Joe Rogan
5.88x
8 markets

Zelenskyy Officially Out as Ukraine President?

Wed, Jun 30International Politics
By June 30, 2027
4.76x
By December 31, 2026
25.0x
2 markets

2028 US Presidential Election Winner (Party)

Tue, Nov 7US Politics
Democratic Party
1.49x
Republican Party
2.94x
2 markets

Closest Senate Race?

Tue, Nov 3US Politics
Alaska
14.29x
Florida (Special)
100.0x
15 markets

NC-03 House Election Winner

95% countedMurphy leads by 233 votes
Raymond Smith Jr. (D)
1.25x
Greg Murphy (R)
5.26x
2 markets

Putin Meets With Zelenskyy?

Thu, Dec 31International Politics
Yes
33.33x
No
1.02x

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

Tue, Nov 3US Politics
125-130 Million
120-125 Million
1.02x
10 markets

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Tue, Nov 3US Politics
Democratic Party 14-16%
1.09x
Democratic Party 12-14%
11.11x
13 markets

Jerome Powell Announced Out as Fed Governor?

Thu, Dec 31US Politics
Yes
9.09x
No
1.11x

Kash Patel Announced Out as FBI Director?

Thu, Dec 31US Politics
Yes
4.0x
No
1.32x

US-Iran Nuclear Deal?

Wed, Mar 31International Politics
By March 31, 2027
3.85x
By December 31, 2026
9.09x
2 markets

Any Country Withdraws From NATO?

Fri, Dec 31International Politics
By December 31, 2027
9.09x
By December 31, 2026
25.0x
2 markets

Next White House Press Secretary?

Fri, Dec 31US Politics
Anna Kelly
5.88x
Scott Jennings
16.67x
29 markets