Politics

U.S Senate Midterm Winner

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Republican Party
1.82x
Democratic Party
2.17x
2 markets

U.S House Midterm Winner

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Democratic Party
1.21x
Republican Party
5.43x
2 markets

2028 US Presidential Election Winner

Tue, Nov 7US
JD Vance
4.35x
Jon Ossoff
6.25x
27 markets

2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee

Thu, Aug 10US
Jon Ossoff
4.76x
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5.26x
17 markets

2028 Republican Presidential Nominee

Thu, Aug 10US
JD Vance
2.04x
Marco Rubio
4.35x
14 markets

Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal?

Mon, Aug 31Geopolitics
By December 31, 2026
4.55x
By September 30, 2026
25.0x
6 markets

Texas Senate Election Winner

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Ken Paxton (R)
1.79x
James Talarico (D)
2.13x
2 markets

LA Mayoral Election Winner

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Karen Bass
1.54x
Nithya Raman
3.03x
2 markets

California Governor Election Winner

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Xavier Becerra
1.06x
Steve Hilton
14.29x
2 markets

Maine Senate Election Winner

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Troy Jackson (D)
1.43x
Susan Collins (R)
3.13x
2 markets

Save Act Becomes Law?

Thu, Dec 31US
By December 31, 2026
12.5x
By August 31, 2026
2 markets

2028 US Presidential Election Winner (Party)

Tue, Nov 7US
Democratic Party
1.69x
Republican Party
2.27x
2 markets

Who Will Be Announced Out of Their Trump Admin Role in 2026?

Thu, Dec 31US
Karoline Leavitt
1.0x
Pete Hegseth
3.45x
17 markets

2026 Midterms: Republican Senate Seats?

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
52
5.26x
51
5.88x
13 markets

2026 Midterms: Republican House Seats?

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
180+
1.19x
185+
1.25x
12 markets

Prime Minister of Israel After the Next Election

Tue, Oct 27International
Gadi Eizenkot
2.0x
Benjamin Netanyahu
2.78x
10 markets

2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner

Sun, Oct 4International
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva
1.75x
Flavio Bolsonaro
2.38x
8 markets

2027 French Presidential Election Winner

Sun, Apr 11International
Marine Le Pen
2.5x
Edouard Philippe
4.17x
11 markets

Pete Hegseth Announced Out as Secretary of War?

Thu, Dec 31US
By December 31, 2026
3.23x
By July 31, 2026
3 markets

Samuel Alito Announced Out as SCOTUS Justice?

Thu, Dec 31US
By December 31, 2026
6.67x
By July 31, 2026
3 markets

Kash Patel Announced Out as FBI Director?

Thu, Dec 31US
By December 31, 2026
3.57x
By July 31, 2026
3 markets

Mitch McConnell Resigns?

Mon, Nov 2US
Before the Midterms
11.11x
1 market

Trump Resigns?

Fri, Dec 31US
By December 31, 2027
5.26x
By December 31, 2026
14.29x
2 markets

Trump Impeached?

Wed, Jun 30US
By December 31, 2026
14.29x
1 market

Who Will Announce a Presidential Run in 2026?

Thu, Dec 31US
Pete Buttigieg
4.0x
Gavin Newsom
5.0x
33 markets

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Sun, Oct 24International
Javier Milei
1.67x
Axel Kicillof
2.78x
11 markets

What Will Be in a US-Iran Deal in 2026?

Thu, Dec 31Geopolitics
Uranium Enrichment % Cap
4.35x
Dilution of Iran's Uranium
5.56x
6 markets

Bab el-Mandeb Strait Effectively Closed?

Thu, Dec 31Geopolitics
By December 31, 2026
7.14x
By August 31, 2026
100.0x
3 markets

US Withdraws From NATO?

Thu, Dec 31Geopolitics
By December 31, 2026
20.0x
By July 31, 2026
2 markets

Delcy Rodriguez Officially Out as Venezuela President?

Wed, Jun 30International
By June 30, 2027
2.13x
By December 31, 2026
8.33x
2 markets

Zelenskyy Officially Out as Ukraine President?

Wed, Jun 30International
By June 30, 2027
1.96x
By December 31, 2026
5.26x
2 markets

Putin Meets With Zelenskyy?

Thu, Dec 31Geopolitics
By December 31, 2026
5.88x
By September 30, 2026
14.29x
3 markets

Who will Trump meet with by the end of 2026?

Thu, Dec 31US
Xi Jinping
1.01x
Elon Musk
1.45x
13 markets

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Sherrod Brown (D)
1.85x
Jon Husted (R)
2.13x
2 markets

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Amy Acton (D)
1.67x
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)
2.38x
2 markets

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Joe Lombardo (R)
1.67x
Aaron Ford (D)
2.33x
2 markets

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
120-125 Million
4.17x
115-120 Million
4.55x
10 markets

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Winner?

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Democratic Party
1.11x
Republican Party
9.09x
2 markets

California Billionaire Wealth Tax Referendum

Tue, Nov 3Midterms
Passes?
2.78x
1 market

Who will be arrested in 2026?

Thu, Dec 31US
John Brennan
4.55x
Anthony Fauci
7.69x
11 markets