How Low Will 5-YR Treasury Yield Get in November?
How Low Will 5-YR Treasury Yield Get in November?
1 chatting
4.60% or Lower
100%100¢1.000
Settled outcome: Yes
4.60% or Lower
Settled outcome: Yes
4.50% or Lower
–No price
4.50% or Lower
4.40% or Lower
–No price
4.40% or Lower
4.30% or Lower
–No price
4.30% or Lower
4.20% or Lower
–No price
4.20% or Lower
This market will settle to Yes if the daily 5-year Treasury par yield curve rate is less than or equal to 4.60% for any date in November, 2026. Outcome sourced from the United States Department of the Treasury.
This market settles based on the Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates published daily by the U.S. Department of the Treasury at: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve
- Upcoming: Event startOct 30, 2026 at 3:30 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesNov 30, 2026 at 3:30 PM EST
- Upcoming: Estimated payoutNov 30, 2026 at 3:30 PM EST
What is the “How Low Will 5-YR Treasury Yield Get in November?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of How Low Will 5-YR Treasury Yield Get in November?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.