Andy Burnham Announced Out as UK PM?
By December 31, 2026
22%+35522¢4.545
By December 31, 2026
Yes
4.55x
No
1.04x
This market will settle to Yes if Andy Burnhams departure as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from Andy Burnham and the UK Government.
The departure will be considered to be announced when Andy Burnham, the UK Government, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Burnham has ceased or will cease to hold the position of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified persons resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither I will leave office in 2 years, nor I will not be in office forever, would qualify). If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.
Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified persons duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.
If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will settle to Yes if major news agencies of record confirm the departure by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Upcoming: Event startJul 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesDec 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Andy Burnham Announced Out as UK PM?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Andy Burnham Announced Out as UK PM?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
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