Pandemic?
By December 31, 2027
30%+23330¢3.333
By December 31, 2027
Yes
3.33x
No
1.11x
By December 31, 2026
6%+15676¢16.667
By December 31, 2026
Yes
16.67x
No
1.04x
This market will settle to Yes if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from WHO.
- Upcoming: Event startJul 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesDec 31, 2027 at 6:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Pandemic?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Pandemic?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.