Will There Be a Pandemic?
Will There Be a Pandemic?
5,438 chatting
By December 31, 2027
15%15¢6.667
By December 31, 2027
6.67x
By December 31, 2026
4%4¢25.000
By December 31, 2026
25.0x
This market will settle to Yes if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from WHO.
- Upcoming: Event startJul 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesDec 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Will There Be a Pandemic?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Will There Be a Pandemic?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.