Any State Enacts Vaccine Mandate Ban?
Any State Enacts Vaccine Mandate Ban?
122 chatting
By December 31, 2026
29%29¢3.448
By December 31, 2026
3.45x
By December 31, 2027
63%63¢1.587
By December 31, 2027
1.59x
This market will settle to Yes if any U.S. state enacts legislation banning vaccine mandates between Contract Issuance and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from relevant state legislative authorities.
Legislation banning vaccine mandates refers to a bill, act, statute, joint resolution, or equivalent legislative instrument that prohibits any government, school, employer, or business within the state from requiring a person to receive one or more vaccinations as a condition of employment, enrollment, entry, or receipt of services. A prohibition qualifies even if subject to exceptions. Legislation that solely expands religious, medical, or philosophical exemptions to an existing vaccination requirement, without prohibiting the requirement itself, does not qualify.
Enactment means such legislation has been finally approved by all required chambers of a states legislature and has been signed into law by the governor or other official with legal or constitutional authority to enact legislation, or has otherwise become law under the applicable constitutional or legislative procedures of that state.
Once qualifying legislation has been enacted into law, any legal challenges, court orders, administrative actions, or other post-enactment developments will not affect settlement.
- Upcoming: Event startSep 25, 2026 at 6:10 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesDec 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Any State Enacts Vaccine Mandate Ban?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Any State Enacts Vaccine Mandate Ban?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.