This market will settle to Yes if Morgan Wallen has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 on any Billboard Hot 100 chart released after Contract Issuance and dated in 2026. Outcome sourced from Billboard.

Billboard typically updates the Billboard Hot 100 chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday). Under this framework, the final relevant chart would be the chart dated December 26, 2026.

Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.