When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?
Before January 2027
12%+73312¢8.333
Before January 2027
Yes
8.33x
No
1.12x
Before December 2026
8%+11508¢12.500
Before December 2026
Yes
12.5x
No
1.08x
Before November 2026
6%+15676¢16.667
Before November 2026
Yes
16.67x
No
1.05x
Before October 2026
5%+19005¢20.000
Before October 2026
Yes
20.0x
No
1.04x
This market will settle to Yes if the price of Bitcoin is above $100,000.00 at any point after the creation of this market and before 12:00 AM ET on October 1, 2026.
Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index.
The market settles based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation over any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values. If this trimmed mean crosses the threshold at any point, the market settles to Yes. Otherwise, the market settles to No.
- Upcoming: Event startJul 13, 2026 at 3:40 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesDec 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.