
This market will settle to Yes if the price of Bitcoin is at or above $81,400 at 6:00PM ET on Oct 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), available at https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI. The settlement value is determined as follows: in the last minute before 6:00PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, 60 BRTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the simple average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. The market settles to Yes if the settlement value is greater than or equal to $81,400. A settlement value exactly equal to $81,400 settles to Yes. Please note that this market is about the price according to CF Benchmarks' BRTI, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This market lets you trade on the outcome of BTC Price at 6:00PM ET on Thu, Oct 8. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.