Will Bitcoin be above ___ in 2026?
$200,000
3%+32333¢33.333
$200,000
Yes
33.33x
No
1.02x
$250,000
3%+32333¢33.333
$250,000
Yes
33.33x
No
1.02x
This market will settle to Yes if the price of Bitcoin is above the price specified in the title at any point after the creation of this market and before 12:00 AM ET on January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will settle to No.
Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index.
The market settles based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation over any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values. If this trimmed mean exceeds the price specified in the title at any point during the measurement period, the market settles to Yes.
- Upcoming: Event startJul 21, 2026 at 12:56 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesDec 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Will Bitcoin be above ___ in 2026?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Will Bitcoin be above ___ in 2026?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.