How low will BTC get in October?
How low will BTC get in October?
Dips to $82,500
100%100¢1.000
Settled outcome: Yes
Dips to $82,500
Settled outcome: Yes
Dips to $80,000
100%100¢1.000
Settled outcome: Yes
Dips to $80,000
Settled outcome: Yes
Dips to $77,500
16%16¢6.250
Dips to $77,500
6.25x
Dips to $75,000
–No price
Dips to $75,000
Dips to $72,500
–No price
Dips to $72,500
Dips to $70,000
–No price
Dips to $70,000
Dips to $67,500
–No price
Dips to $67,500
Dips to $65,000
–No price
Dips to $65,000
Dips to $62,500
–No price
Dips to $62,500
Dips to $60,000
–No price
Dips to $60,000
This market will settle to Yes if the price of Bitcoin is at or below $77,500 at any point from 12:00AM ET on Oct 1, 2026 until 12:00AM ET on Nov 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), available at https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI. The market settles based on the CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation over any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values: the BRTI prices published during the sixty seconds are collected, the highest 20% and lowest 20% of those values are removed, and the remaining values are averaged, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If this trimmed mean is at or below $77,500 at any point during the measurement window, the market settles to Yes, and may settle early at that time. Values outside this market's window are not considered. Please note that this market is about the price according to CF Benchmarks' BRTI, not according to other sources or spot markets.
- Upcoming: Event startOct 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesNov 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “How low will BTC get in October?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of How low will BTC get in October?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.