How low will BTC get in November?
How low will BTC get in November?
Dips to $75,000
100%100¢1.000
Settled outcome: Yes
Dips to $75,000
Settled outcome: Yes
Dips to $72,500
64%64¢1.562
Dips to $72,500
1.56x
Dips to $70,000
43%43¢2.326
Dips to $70,000
2.33x
Dips to $67,500
29%29¢3.448
Dips to $67,500
3.45x
Dips to $65,000
18%18¢5.556
Dips to $65,000
5.56x
Dips to $62,500
14%14¢7.143
Dips to $62,500
7.14x
Dips to $60,000
9%9¢11.111
Dips to $60,000
11.11x
Dips to $57,500
8%8¢12.500
Dips to $57,500
12.5x
Dips to $55,000
–No price
Dips to $55,000
This market will settle to Yes if the price of Bitcoin is at or below $72,500 at any point from the later of this market's listing and 12:00AM ET on Nov 1, 2026 until 12:00AM ET on Dec 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), available at https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI. The market settles based on the CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation over any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values: the BRTI prices published during the sixty seconds are collected, the highest 20% and lowest 20% of those values are removed, and the remaining values are averaged, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If this trimmed mean is at or below $72,500 at any point during the measurement window, the market settles to Yes, and may settle early at that time. Please note that this market is about the price according to CF Benchmarks' BRTI, not according to other sources or spot markets.
- Upcoming: Event startNov 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesDec 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “How low will BTC get in November?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of How low will BTC get in November?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.