How low will Bitcoin get this year?
Below $55,000.00
55%-12255¢1.818
Below $55,000.00
Yes
1.82x
No
2.17x
Below $50,000.00
44%+12744¢2.273
Below $50,000.00
Yes
2.27x
No
1.75x
Below $45,000.00
31%+22331¢3.226
Below $45,000.00
Yes
3.23x
No
1.43x
Below $40,000.00
21%+37621¢4.762
Below $40,000.00
Yes
4.76x
No
1.25x
This market will settle to Yes if the price of Bitcoin is below $55,000.00 at any point from the creation of this market until 12:00 AM ET on January 1, 2027.
Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index.
The market settles based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation over any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values. If this trimmed mean crosses the threshold at any point, the market settles to Yes. Otherwise, the market settles to No.
- Upcoming: Event startJul 10, 2026 at 11:53 AM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesDec 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “How low will Bitcoin get this year?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of How low will Bitcoin get this year?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.