BTC Up or Down: 15 min
BTC Up or Down: 15 min
BTC Up or Down: 15 min
100%100¢1.000
Settled outcome: Up
BTC Up or Down: 15 min
Settled outcome: Up
This market will settle to Up if the Bitcoin price at 11:45AM ET on Sep 29, 2026 is greater than or equal to the price at 11:30AM ET on Sep 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will settle to Down. Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), available at https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI. The price at the beginning and at the end of the time range is determined the same way: in the last minute before each of those two times, 60 BRTI prices are collected. The official value for that time is the simple average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. Please note that this market is about the price according to CF Benchmarks' BRTI, not according to other sources or spot markets.
- Completed: Event startSep 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM EDT
- Completed: Market closesSep 29, 2026 at 11:45 AM EDT
- Completed: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “BTC Up or Down: 15 min” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of BTC Up or Down: 15 min. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.