How high will gas prices in California get this year?
How high will gas prices in California get this year?
151 chatting
Above $6.6000
–No price
Above $6.6000
Above $6.8000
–No price
Above $6.8000
Above $7.0000
–No price
Above $7.0000
Above $7.2000
–No price
Above $7.2000
Above $7.4000
–No price
Above $7.4000
Above $7.6000
–No price
Above $7.6000
Above $7.8000
–No price
Above $7.8000
Above $8.0000
–No price
Above $8.0000
This market will settle to Yes if the California average price of regular gas is greater than $6.6000 for any date from October 27, 2026 through December 31, 2026, inclusive. Outcome sourced from AAA. This market settles based on the California average gas prices published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/?state=CA. For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20AAAGASPC%20-%20(2026.08.07).pdf
- Upcoming: Event startOct 27, 2026 at 8:00 AM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesDec 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST
- Upcoming: Estimated payoutDec 31, 2026 at 10:25 AM ESTDependent upon AAA publication timing
What is the “How high will gas prices in California get this year?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of How high will gas prices in California get this year?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.