Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Alibaba
90%90¢1.111
Alibaba1.11x
Moonshot
3%3¢33.333
Moonshot33.33x
Tencent
3%3¢33.333
Tencent33.33x
Baidu
2%2¢50.000
Baidu50.0x
ByteDance
2%2¢50.000
ByteDance50.0x
DeepSeek
2%2¢50.000
DeepSeek50.0x
Meituan
2%2¢50.000
Meituan50.0x
MiniMax
2%2¢50.000
MiniMax50.0x
Xiaomi
2%2¢50.000
Xiaomi50.0x
Z.ai
2%2¢50.000
Z.ai50.0x
StepFun
1%1¢100.000
StepFun100.0x
This market will settle to Yes if Alibaba is the Chinese company with the highest ranked AI model on the Arena AI Text Arena overall leaderboard on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (Style Control Off). Outcome sourced from Arena AI.
The ranking is determined by the "Rank" column of the Arena AI Text Arena overall leaderboard, with Style Control toggled off (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control).
If multiple models from different Chinese companies are tied for the highest rank, the model with the highest Score will be considered the #1-ranked model (including any underlying, unrounded values reflected in the data below the leaderboard). If a tie remains, the company whose name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered the #1 ranked company.
Chinese companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, ByteDance, Baidu, Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, Meituan, Xiaomi, StepFun, Tencent, and MiniMax.
- Upcoming: Event startAug 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesBy end of Sep 30, 2026
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Best Chinese AI Company end of September?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Best Chinese AI Company end of September?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.