Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of November?
Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of November?
140 chatting
Google
73%73¢1.370
Google1.37x
Anthropic
24%24¢4.167
Anthropic4.17x
OpenAI
4%4¢25.000
OpenAI25.0x
Alibaba
1%1¢100.000
Alibaba100.0x
Amazon
1%1¢100.000
Amazon100.0x
Meta
1%1¢100.000
Meta100.0x
Moonshot
1%1¢100.000
Moonshot100.0x
xAI
1%1¢100.000
xAI100.0x
Xiaomi
1%1¢100.000
Xiaomi100.0x
Z.ai
1%1¢100.000
Z.ai100.0x
This market will settle to Yes if Google has the #1 ranked AI model on the Arena AI Text Arena (Overall) leaderboard on November 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (Style Control Off). Outcome sourced from Arena AI.
The #1 ranking is determined by the "Rank" column of the Arena AI Text Arena overall leaderboard, with Style Control toggled off (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/chat/text?scoring=raw).
If multiple models from different companies are tied on rank, the model with the highest Score (including any underlying, unrounded values reflected in the data below the leaderboard) will be considered ranked higher. If a tie remains, the company whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order will be considered ranked higher.
For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20AIMRC%20-%20(2026.06.30).pdf
- Upcoming: Event startOct 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesNov 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of November?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of November?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
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