Top AI Company this week
Top AI Company this week
104 chatting
Google
99%99¢1.010
Google1.01x
Amazon
2%2¢50.000
Amazon50.0x
Alibaba
1%1¢100.000
Alibaba100.0x
Anthropic
1%1¢100.000
Anthropic100.0x
Meta
1%1¢100.000
Meta100.0x
Moonshot
1%1¢100.000
Moonshot100.0x
OpenAI
1%1¢100.000
OpenAI100.0x
xAI
1%1¢100.000
xAI100.0x
Xiaomi
1%1¢100.000
Xiaomi100.0x
Z.ai
1%1¢100.000
Z.ai100.0x
This market will settle to Yes if Google has the #1 ranked AI model on the Arena AI Text Arena (Overall) leaderboard on November 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (Style Control Off). Outcome sourced from Arena AI.
The #1 ranking is determined by the "Rank" column of the Arena AI Text Arena overall leaderboard, with Style Control toggled off (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/chat/text?scoring=raw).
If multiple models from different companies are tied on rank, the model with the highest Score (including any underlying, unrounded values reflected in the data below the leaderboard) will be considered ranked higher. If a tie remains, the company whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order will be considered ranked higher.
For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20AIMRC%20-%20(2026.06.30).pdf
- Upcoming: Event startNov 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesNov 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Top AI Company this week” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Top AI Company this week. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.