Pete Hegseth Impeached and Convicted?
Pete Hegseth Impeached and Convicted?
121 chatting
By March 31, 2027
22%22¢4.545
By March 31, 2027
4.55x
This market will settle to Yes if the United States Senate passes a vote to convict Pete Hegseth, United States Secretary of War (also referred to as the Secretary of Defense), on one or more articles of impeachment between Contract Issuance and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from the United States Senate.
The passage of a vote to convict on an article of impeachment requires a two-thirds vote as mandated under the U.S. Constitution.
Impeachment by the House without a Senate vote to convict does not qualify. Any subsequent Senate vote on disqualification from future office, whether Pete Hegseth vacates the office, or any legal challenge to the impeachment or conviction will not affect market settlement.
For full rules, see: https://polymarketexchange.com/files/product-terms/BPCHC.pdf.
- Upcoming: Event startNov 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesMar 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM EDT
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Pete Hegseth Impeached and Convicted?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Pete Hegseth Impeached and Convicted?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.