Senate Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?
Senate Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?
73 chatting
John Thune
77%77¢1.299
John Thune
1.3x
Tom Cotton
10%10¢10.000
Tom Cotton
10.0x
John Barrasso
8%8¢12.500
John Barrasso
12.5x
Chris Murphy
3%3¢33.333
Chris Murphy
33.33x
Brian Schatz
2%2¢50.000
Brian Schatz
50.0x
Chris Van Hollen
2%2¢50.000
Chris Van Hollen
50.0x
Chuck Schumer
2%2¢50.000
Chuck Schumer
50.0x
Cory Booker
2%2¢50.000
Cory Booker
50.0x
This market will settle to Yes if John Thune is the next person selected as Senate Minority Leader for the 120th United States Congress. Outcome sourced from the Senate Democratic Caucus, the Senate Republican Conference, and the United States Senate.
A person will be considered selected as Senate Minority Leader when they are elected to the position by the Senate Democratic Caucus or the Senate Republican Conference, depending on which party does not hold majority status in the Senate following the 2026 midterm elections. A selection made before the 120th Congress convenes will qualify. Acting or interim leaders will not qualify.
If no such Senate Minority Leader is selected by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will settle to No.
- Upcoming: Event startOct 30, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesJan 3, 2027 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
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What is the “Senate Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Senate Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
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