European Central Bank Decision in September?
25 bps Increase
92%-115092¢1.087
25 bps Increase
Yes
1.09x
No
3.23x
50+ bps Increase
52%-10852¢1.923
50+ bps Increase
Yes
1.92x
No
1.02x
50+ bps Decrease
28%+25728¢3.571
50+ bps Decrease
Yes
3.57x
No
1.01x
25 bps Decrease
13%+66913¢7.692
25 bps Decrease
Yes
7.69x
No
1.01x
No Change
–No price
No Change
Yes
No
This market will settle to Yes if the European Central Bank increases the deposit facility rate by 50 basis points or more at the September 2026 European Central Bank Monetary Policy Meeting. Outcome sourced from the European Central Bank.
If the change in the specified rate does not precisely match the displayed options, changes smaller than the smallest option of the same direction (increase/decrease) will be rounded to that smallest option, and changes greater than the smallest option of the same direction will be rounded to the nearest displayed option, with values exactly halfway between options being rounded away from zero.
- Upcoming: Event startJul 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesSep 10, 2026 at 7:59 PM EDT
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “European Central Bank Decision in September?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of European Central Bank Decision in September?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.