What Will Elon's Net Worth Hit By December 31?
$900 Billion
95%-190095¢1.053
$900 Billion
Yes
1.05x
No
2.86x
$950 Billion
79%-37679¢1.266
$950 Billion
Yes
1.27x
No
2.13x
$1.5 Trillion
50%-10050¢2.000
$1.5 Trillion
Yes
2.0x
No
1.47x
$1 Trillion
40%+15040¢2.500
$1 Trillion
Yes
2.5x
No
1.45x
$1.3 Trillion
35%+18635¢2.857
$1.3 Trillion
Yes
2.86x
No
1.12x
$1.1 Trillion
33%+20333¢3.030
$1.1 Trillion
Yes
3.03x
No
1.41x
$1.05 Trillion
31%+22331¢3.226
$1.05 Trillion
Yes
3.23x
No
1.01x
$2 Trillion
14%+61414¢7.143
$2 Trillion
Yes
7.14x
No
1.04x
$1.2 Trillion
–No price
$1.2 Trillion
Yes
No
This market will settle to Yes if Elon Musk's net worth, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, is greater than or equal to $900 billion at any point between Contract Issuance and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The Bloomberg Billionaires Index figures are updated after the close of every trading day in New York.
- Upcoming: Event startDec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesDec 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “What Will Elon's Net Worth Hit By December 31?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of What Will Elon's Net Worth Hit By December 31?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.