Emmys: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series
Sterling K. Brown Paradise
45%+12245¢2.222
Sterling K. Brown Paradise
Yes
2.22x
No
1.02x
Gary Oldman Slow Horses
42%+13842¢2.381
Gary Oldman Slow Horses
Yes
2.38x
No
1.01x
Mark Ruffalo Task
42%+13842¢2.381
Mark Ruffalo Task
Yes
2.38x
No
1.01x
Rufus Sewell The Diplomat
42%+13842¢2.381
Rufus Sewell The Diplomat
Yes
2.38x
No
1.01x
Noah Wyle The Pitt
–No price
Noah Wyle The Pitt
Yes
No
This market will settle to Yes if Sterling K. Brown Paradise wins the 2026 Emmy for Outstanding lead actor in a drama series. Outcome sourced from The Emmys.
- Upcoming: Event startSep 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesSep 14, 2026 at 7:59 PM EDT
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Emmys: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Emmys: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.