How low will ETH get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Oct 30?
How low will ETH get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Oct 30?
Dips to $2,200
14%14¢7.143
Dips to $2,200
7.14x
Dips to $2,100
–No price
Dips to $2,100
Dips to $2,000
–No price
Dips to $2,000
Dips to $1,900
–No price
Dips to $1,900
Dips to $1,800
–No price
Dips to $1,800
Dips to $1,700
–No price
Dips to $1,700
Dips to $1,600
–No price
Dips to $1,600
Dips to $1,500
–No price
Dips to $1,500
This market will settle to Yes if the price of Ethereum is at or below $2,200 at any point from the later of this market's listing and 5:00PM ET on Oct 23, 2026 until 5:00PM ET on Oct 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Ether-Dollar Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI), available at https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/ETHUSD_RTI. The market settles based on the CF Benchmarks Ether-Dollar Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) using a trimmed mean calculation over any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values: the ETHUSD_RTI prices published during the sixty seconds are collected, the highest 20% and lowest 20% of those values are removed, and the remaining values are averaged, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If this trimmed mean is at or below $2,200 at any point during the measurement window, the market settles to Yes, and may settle early at that time. Please note that this market is about the price according to CF Benchmarks' ETHUSD_RTI, not according to other sources or spot markets.
- Upcoming: Event startOct 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesOct 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “How low will ETH get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Oct 30?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of How low will ETH get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Oct 30?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.