Which Party Wins White Voters in the Midterms?
Which Party Wins White Voters in the Midterms?
46 chatting
Democrats
–No price
Democrats
Republicans
–No price
RepublicansThe 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party wins the greatest share of white voters, amongst all parties, in the 2026 midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. Outcome sourced from CNN.
This market settles based on CNN's national exit polling for the U.S. House of Representatives, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If more than one party has the same greatest share, each tied party's market will settle at $1.00 divided by the number of tied parties, rounded down to the nearest tick.
If CNN is unavailable or does not display the relevant data at 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026, this market will settle based on the first Exit Poll Values CNN displays in the 24 hours immediately following that time. If CNN does not display the relevant data within those 24 hours, this market will settle based on the Exit Poll Values displayed by CBS News exactly 24 hours after that time (12:00 PM ET on November 7, 2026). If CBS News is unavailable or does not display the relevant data at that time, this market will settle based on the first Exit Poll Values CBS News displays within the following 12 hours. If CBS News does not display the relevant data in those 12 hours, this market will settle based on the Exit Poll Values displayed by ABC News exactly 36 hours after the original time (12:00 AM ET on November 8, 2026). If the relevant data cannot be accessed from any of these sources in this way, this market will settle at last fair market prices.
For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20USEXPWC%20-%20(2026.09.30).pdf
- Upcoming: Event startNov 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesNov 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
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What is the “Which Party Wins White Voters in the Midterms?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Which Party Wins White Voters in the Midterms?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.