Fed Rate Cut Greater Than 25bps?
Fed Rate Cut Greater Than 25bps?
By December 31, 2026
4%4¢25.000
By December 31, 2026
25.0x
This market will settle to Yes if the Federal Reserve takes a single monetary policy action to decrease the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate by more than 25 basis points by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from the Federal Reserve.
Monetary policy actions taken at scheduled FOMC meetings or at unscheduled or emergency meetings will both qualify.
- Upcoming: Event startSep 9, 2026 at 3:04 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesBy end of Dec 31, 2026
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Fed Rate Cut Greater Than 25bps?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Fed Rate Cut Greater Than 25bps?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.