Gold Up or Down 15m
Gold Up or Down 15m
Gold Up or Down 15m
100%100¢1.000
Settled outcome: Up
Gold Up or Down 15m
Settled outcome: Up
This market will settle to Up if the price of gold at 5:45AM ET on Oct 28, 2026 is greater than or equal to the price of gold at 5:30AM ET on Oct 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will settle to Down. Outcome sourced from Chainlink. The price of gold used for settlement is the price of gold published in the Chainlink XAU/USD spot price data stream (XAU/USD-Streams-ForexPrice), rounded to the nearest cent.
- Completed: Event startOct 28, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT
- Completed: Market closesOct 28, 2026 at 5:45 AM EDT
- Completed: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Gold Up or Down 15m” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Gold Up or Down 15m. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.