2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Winner?
Democratic Party
75%-30075ยข1.333
Democratic PartyYes
1.33x
No
3.33x
Republican Party
11%+80911ยข9.091
Republican PartyYes
9.09x
No
1.11x
This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party receives the most valid votes for U.S. Representative of any party in the 2026 United States Midterm Election. Outcome sourced from the United States Clerk of the House.
Party vote totals will be inclusive of all votes for the partys candidates for U.S. Representative (excluding votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner), as reflected in the certified results from the United States Clerk of the House. If multiple parties tie for the most votes for U.S. Representative, Yes contract holders for each tied party receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied parties, rounded down to the nearest tick, per contract.
- Upcoming: Event startNov 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesNov 3, 2026 at 6:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the โ2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Winner?โ prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Winner?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60ยข implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution โ you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.