2026 Midterms: House Turnout
At Least 130 Million
40%+15040¢2.500
At Least 130 Million
Yes
2.5x
No
1.28x
125-130 Million
35%+18635¢2.857
125-130 Million
Yes
2.86x
No
1.08x
120-125 Million
24%+31724¢4.167
120-125 Million
Yes
4.17x
No
1.28x
115-120 Million
21%+37621¢4.762
115-120 Million
Yes
4.76x
No
1.25x
110-115 Million
20%+40020¢5.000
110-115 Million
Yes
5.0x
No
1.2x
105-110 Million
12%+73312¢8.333
105-110 Million
Yes
8.33x
No
1.11x
100-105 Million
7%+13297¢14.286
100-105 Million
Yes
14.29x
No
1.03x
Less Than 90 Million
6%+15676¢16.667
Less Than 90 Million
Yes
16.67x
No
1.02x
90-95 Million
6%+15676¢16.667
90-95 Million
Yes
16.67x
No
1.02x
95-100 Million
6%+15676¢16.667
95-100 Million
Yes
16.67x
No
1.05x
This market will settle to Yes if the total number of votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative in the 2026 United States Midterm election is less than 90 million. Outcome sourced from the Clerk of the House.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative are included in the count. Votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner are excluded. If the turnout falls exactly on the boundary between two ranges, the Contract for which that value is the lower boundary will settle to Yes and all other Contracts will settle to No.
- Upcoming: Event startNov 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesNov 3, 2026 at 6:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “2026 Midterms: House Turnout” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of 2026 Midterms: House Turnout. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.