2026 Midterms: House Turnout
2026 Midterms: House Turnout
115-120 Million
28%28¢3.571
115-120 Million
3.57x
110-115 Million
21%21¢4.762
110-115 Million
4.76x
At Least 130 Million
21%21¢4.762
At Least 130 Million
4.76x
120-125 Million
19%19¢5.263
120-125 Million
5.26x
125-130 Million
13%13¢7.692
125-130 Million
7.69x
105-110 Million
12%12¢8.333
105-110 Million
8.33x
100-105 Million
5%5¢20.000
100-105 Million
20.0x
Less Than 90 Million
4%4¢25.000
Less Than 90 Million
25.0x
90-95 Million
2%2¢50.000
90-95 Million
50.0x
95-100 Million
2%2¢50.000
95-100 Million
50.0x
This market will settle to Yes if the total number of votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative in the 2026 United States Midterm election is less than 90 million. Outcome sourced from the Clerk of the House.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative are included in the count. Votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner are excluded. If the turnout falls exactly on the boundary between two ranges, the Contract for which that value is the lower boundary will settle to Yes and all other Contracts will settle to No.
- Upcoming: Event startNov 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesBy end of Nov 3, 2026
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “2026 Midterms: House Turnout” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of 2026 Midterms: House Turnout. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.