Lisa Cook Officially Out as Fed Governor?
By August 31, 2026
50%-10050¢2.000
By August 31, 2026
Yes
2.0x
No
1.01x
By December 31, 2026
45%+12245¢2.222
By December 31, 2026
Yes
2.22x
No
1.01x
This market will settle to Yes if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from Lisa Cook and the Federal Reserve.
Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, replacement by a successor who formally assumes the position, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person's duties in the specified position do not qualify.
- Upcoming: Event startDec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesDec 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Lisa Cook Officially Out as Fed Governor?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Lisa Cook Officially Out as Fed Governor?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
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