
This market will settle to Yes if Amazon officially launches a USD-denominated stablecoin by December 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM (ET). Outcome sourced from official communications from Amazon.
A qualifying launch occurs only when the token is publicly transferable on mainnet and tradable through a publicly accessible venue, whether a centralized exchange, decentralized exchange, or on-chain liquidity pool. Testnet deployments, private distributions, airdrop claims without public transferability, token-generation announcements, premarket allocations, and non-transferable points do not constitute a qualifying launch.
The token must be launched directly by Amazon, or by a subsidiary, affiliate, or authorized representative of Amazon acting at Amazon's direction. Accepting, integrating, distributing, or making payouts in a stablecoin issued by a third party does not qualify.
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Will a Mag7 Company Launch a USD Stablecoin by December 31, 2026?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.