Mitch McConnell Resigns?
Before the Midterms
13%+66913¢7.692
Before the Midterms
Yes
7.69x
No
1.14x
This market will settle to Yes if Mitch McConnell resigns as United States Senator from Kentucky by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from Mitch McConnell and the United States Senate.
Resignation refers to Mitch McConnell formally ceasing to hold the position of United States Senator from Kentucky through self-initiated means, including, but not limited to, resignation and retirement. Externally-imposed departures and announcements of future resignations do not qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person's duties in the specified position do not qualify. Ceasing to hold the specified position through non-self-initiated means does not qualify.
- Upcoming: Event startNov 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesNov 2, 2026 at 6:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Mitch McConnell Resigns?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Mitch McConnell Resigns?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.