Polymarket

What is the “MLB Home Runs Leader” prediction market?

This market lets you trade on the outcome of MLB Home Runs Leader. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.

How are prices determined?

Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.

When does this market resolve?

The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.

Can I sell my position before the market resolves?

Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.

What happens if I hold winning shares?

Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.

Where do the odds come from?

Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.

MLB Home Runs Leader

Market rules

Timeline & Payout

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the “MLB Home Runs Leader” prediction market?

How are prices determined?

When does this market resolve?

Can I sell my position before the market resolves?

What happens if I hold winning shares?

Where do the odds come from?

MLB Home Runs Leader

Market rules

Timeline & Payout

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the “MLB Home Runs Leader” prediction market?

How are prices determined?

When does this market resolve?

Can I sell my position before the market resolves?

What happens if I hold winning shares?

Where do the odds come from?