Kimi K4+ Released?
Kimi K4+ Released?
3 chatting
By December 31, 2026
–No price
By December 31, 2026
By March 31, 2027
–No price
By March 31, 2027
This market will settle to Yes if Moonshot AI releases a Kimi model with a name or model identifier labeled K and numbered 4.0 or greater by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from Moonshot AI.
A "release" refers to the specified model being made accessible and usable to the general public without requiring special status, including via an open beta or open rolling waitlist. A release available to some or all paid members of the public qualifies. A closed beta, or access limited to a closed group of testers, researchers, or enterprise customers, does not qualify.
- Upcoming: Event startNov 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesMar 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM EDT
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Kimi K4+ Released?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Kimi K4+ Released?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.