Netanyahu Arrested?
By December 31, 2026
9%+10119¢11.111
By December 31, 2026
Yes
11.11x
No
1.06x
This market will settle to Yes if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between Contract Issuance and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from relevant law enforcement authorities.
A qualifying arrest refers to the specified person being taken into physical custody, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) they are criminally booked or processed; (ii) they are taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) they are held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) they are transported to a police station, detention facility, or equivalent in connection with a criminal arrest.
The following do not qualify unless they independently constitute a qualifying arrest: being charged without being taken into physical custody, a warrant being issued but not executed, being named in an indictment, brief detention, being interviewed, questioned, or searched, being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring without physical custody, or being placed in protective custody, in witness protection, or on medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development does not affect settlement once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
- Upcoming: Event startJul 23, 2026 at 1:29 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesDec 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Netanyahu Arrested?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Netanyahu Arrested?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.