2026 Nobel Peace Prize Winner

Hussam Abu Safiya

44%+12744¢2.273

Hussam Abu Safiya

Yes

2.27x

1.61x

Sudans Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)

30%+23330¢3.333

Sudans Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)

Yes

3.33x

1.41x

Doctors Without Borders

11%+80911¢9.091

Doctors Without Borders

Yes

9.09x

1.11x

Julian Assange

11%+80911¢9.091

Julian Assange

Yes

9.09x

1.01x

Save the Children

10%+90010¢10.000

Save the Children

Yes

10.0x

1.1x

Women's International League for Peace and Freedom (WILPF)

10%+90010¢10.000

Women's International League for Peace and Freedom (WILPF)

Yes

10.0x

1.1x

Yulia Navalnaya

9%+10119¢11.111

Yulia Navalnaya

Yes

11.11x

1.09x

Mykola Kuleba

8%+11508¢12.500

Mykola Kuleba

Yes

12.5x

1.08x

Narendra Modi

7%+13297¢14.286

Narendra Modi

Yes

14.29x

1.03x

Pope Leo XIV

6%+15676¢16.667

Pope Leo XIV

Yes

16.67x

1.04x

International Criminal Court (ICC)

5%+19005¢20.000

International Criminal Court (ICC)

Yes

20.0x

1.04x

International Court of Justice (ICJ)

5%+19005¢20.000

International Court of Justice (ICJ)

Yes

20.0x

1.01x

Recep Tayyip Erdogan

5%+19005¢20.000

Recep Tayyip Erdogan

Yes

20.0x

1.04x

Vladimir Putin

5%+19005¢20.000

Vladimir Putin

Yes

20.0x

1.04x

Volodymyr Zelensky

5%+19005¢20.000

Volodymyr Zelensky

Yes

20.0x

1.04x

Antonio Guterres

4%+24004¢25.000

Antonio Guterres

Yes

25.0x

1.03x

Donald Trump

4%+24004¢25.000

Donald Trump

Yes

25.0x

1.03x

Greta Thunberg

4%+24004¢25.000

Greta Thunberg

Yes

25.0x

1.01x

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

4%+24004¢25.000

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Yes

25.0x

1.01x

UNRWA

4%+24004¢25.000

UNRWA

Yes

25.0x

1.03x

Benjamin Netanyahu

3%+32333¢33.333

Benjamin Netanyahu

Yes

33.33x

1.02x

Committee to Protect Journalists (CPJ)

3%+32333¢33.333

Committee to Protect Journalists (CPJ)

Yes

33.33x

1.02x

Khaled Mashal

3%+32333¢33.333

Khaled Mashal

Yes

33.33x

1.02x

Ahmed al-Sharaa

2%+49002¢50.000

Ahmed al-Sharaa

Yes

50.0x

1.01x

Charlie Kirk

2%+49002¢50.000

Charlie Kirk

Yes

50.0x

1.01x

Elon Musk

2%+49002¢50.000

Elon Musk

Yes

50.0x

1.01x

Francesca Albanese

2%+49002¢50.000

Francesca Albanese

Yes

50.0x

1.01x

Xi Jinping

2%+49002¢50.000

Xi Jinping

Yes

50.0x

1.01x

If Hussam Abu Safiya wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome verified by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

The specified person or organization will be considered to have won the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize if they are announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee as the sole or joint recipient of the Prize. Membership or leadership in an organization that receives the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize will not count for settlement.

2026 Nobel Peace Prize Winner

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2026 Nobel Peace Prize Winner

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Timeline & Payout

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the “2026 Nobel Peace Prize Winner” prediction market?

How are prices determined?

When does this market resolve?

Can I sell my position before the market resolves?

What happens if I hold winning shares?

Where do the odds come from?