Oscar Winner: Best Original Screenplay
Oscar Winner: Best Original Screenplay
38 chatting
Digger
35%35¢2.857
Digger
2.86x
Fjord
31%31¢3.226
Fjord
3.23x
A Place in Hell
24%24¢4.167
A Place in Hell
4.17x
The Debut
23%23¢4.348
The Debut
4.35x
Forgotten Island
21%21¢4.762
Forgotten Island
4.76x
Obsession
21%21¢4.762
Obsession
4.76x
The Invite
19%19¢5.263
The Invite
5.26x
The Black Ball
18%18¢5.556
The Black Ball
5.56x
Josephine
18%18¢5.556
Josephine
5.56x
Club Kid
12%12¢8.333
Club Kid
8.33x
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
9%9¢11.111
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
11.11x
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
6%6¢16.667
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
16.67x
Fatherland
2%2¢50.000
Fatherland
50.0x
The Drama
–No price
The Drama
Elsinore
–No price
Elsinore
The Odyssey
–No price
The Odyssey
Wild Horse Nine
–No price
Wild Horse Nine
This market will settle to Yes if Digger wins Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards. Outcome sourced from Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.
- Upcoming: Event startOct 14, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesMar 14, 2027 at 11:59 PM EDT
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Oscar Winner: Best Original Screenplay” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Oscar Winner: Best Original Screenplay. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.