Oscar Nominees: Best Actor
Oscar Nominees: Best Actor
John Malkovich
88%88¢1.136
John Malkovich
1.14x
Matt Damon
83%83¢1.205
Matt Damon
1.2x
Andrew Scott
79%79¢1.266
Andrew Scott
1.27x
Tom Cruise
64%64¢1.562
Tom Cruise
1.56x
Robert Pattinson
56%56¢1.786
Robert Pattinson
1.79x
Ryan Gosling
53%53¢1.887
Ryan Gosling
1.89x
Timothee Chalamet
39%39¢2.564
Timothee Chalamet
2.56x
John Turturro
28%28¢3.571
John Turturro
3.57x
Sebastian Stan
24%24¢4.167
Sebastian Stan
4.17x
Jaafar Jackson
19%19¢5.263
Jaafar Jackson
5.26x
Robert Aramayo
13%13¢7.692
Robert Aramayo
7.69x
Josh O'Connor
10%10¢10.000
Josh O'Connor
10.0x
Pedro Pascal
9%9¢11.111
Pedro Pascal
11.11x
Adam Driver
4%4¢25.000
Adam Driver
25.0x
Brad Pitt
4%4¢25.000
Brad Pitt
25.0x
Javier Bardem
4%4¢25.000
Javier Bardem
25.0x
Jeremy Strong
4%4¢25.000
Jeremy Strong
25.0x
Sam Rockwell
4%4¢25.000
Sam Rockwell
25.0x
This market will settle to Yes if John Malkovich is officially nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Oscars. Outcome sourced from Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.
- Upcoming: Event startSep 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesJan 21, 2027 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Oscar Nominees: Best Actor” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Oscar Nominees: Best Actor. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.