Oscar Nominees: Best Adapted Screenplay
Oscar Nominees: Best Adapted Screenplay
15 chatting
La Bola Negra
80%80¢1.250
La Bola Negra
1.25x
The Invite
80%80¢1.250
The Invite
1.25x
Wildwood
24%24¢4.167
Wildwood
4.17x
The Whisper Man
20%20¢5.000
The Whisper Man
5.0x
Toy Story 5
14%14¢7.143
Toy Story 5
7.14x
All of a Sudden
–No price
All of a Sudden
Clarissa
–No price
Clarissa
Cry to Heaven
–No price
Cry to Heaven
Dune: Part Three
–No price
Dune: Part Three
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
–No price
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
Ink
–No price
Ink
The Odyssey
–No price
The Odyssey
Project Hail Mary
–No price
Project Hail Mary
Saturn Return
–No price
Saturn Return
The Social Reckoning
–No price
The Social Reckoning
This market will settle to Yes if La Bola Negra (The Black Ball) is officially nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Oscars. Outcome sourced from Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.
- Upcoming: Event startOct 14, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesJan 21, 2027 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Oscar Nominees: Best Adapted Screenplay” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Oscar Nominees: Best Adapted Screenplay. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.