This market will settle to Yes if Tom Holland receives exactly 0 nominations at the 99th Oscars, as announced in the official nominations announcement expected on January 21, 2027. Only nominations naming Tom Holland as a nominee count, and each category counts once. If the nominations are only partially announced by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will settle based on the nominations announced up to that point; if no nominations are announced by then, the market will settle as if Tom Holland received 0 nominations. Outcome sourced from Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Tom Holland Number of Oscar Nominations. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.