Plague Pandemic?
Plague Pandemic?
297 chatting
By December 31, 2026
–No price
By December 31, 2026
This market will settle to Yes if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak a pandemic by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from WHO.
For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20PANDC%20-%20(2026.07.21).pdf
- Upcoming: Event startOct 7, 2026 at 1:27 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesJan 1, 2027 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Plague Pandemic?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Plague Pandemic?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.