Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
Flavio Bolsonaro
99%99¢1.010
Flavio Bolsonaro1.01x
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva
98%98¢1.020
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva1.02x
This market will settle to Yes if Flavio Bolsonaro receives the most valid votes of any candidate in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities.
Vote totals will be inclusive of all valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. If multiple candidates tie for the most votes in the first round, Yes contract holders for each tied candidate receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down to the nearest tick, per contract.
- Upcoming: Event startOct 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesBy end of Oct 4, 2026
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.