Where will it rain on Nov 15?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if New York records rain on November 15, 2026, meaning the National Weather Service Daily Climate Report for Central Park, New York (KNYC) reports measurable precipitation for that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Measurable precipitation is a PRECIPITATION (IN) figure of 0.01 inches or more for November 15, 2026 in the governing Daily Climate Report, evaluated at the precision the report gives. A trace ("T") does not count. The figure is total liquid-equivalent precipitation, so snow, sleet, hail or freezing rain included in it counts; an entry in the WEATHER CONDITIONS section without a qualifying PRECIPITATION (IN) figure, snow depth, snowfall and forecast precipitation do not. A governing report that gives the figure as missing ("M" or "MM") is treated as reporting 0.00 inches, and this market will resolve to "No".

November 15, 2026 is the climatological day the Daily Climate Report uses: 12:00 AM to 11:59 PM local standard time at the station, being 05:00 UTC November 15, 2026 to 04:59 UTC November 16, 2026. Local standard time does not shift for daylight saving time.

The governing report is ordinarily the Daily Climate Report issued on November 16, 2026 that reports November 15, 2026 as YESTERDAY. Where more than one Daily Climate Report is issued for November 15, 2026, the last one published by 2:00 PM ET on November 16, 2026 governs. A report stated to be valid as of a time earlier than the end of the climatological day (for example "VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME") does not govern, nor does a report issued on November 15, 2026 that reports it as TODAY unless it is stated to be valid as of the end of the climatological day. Where no such report has been published by 2:00 PM ET on November 16, 2026, the first one published afterwards governs.

This market will resolve after 2:00 PM ET on November 16, 2026, once the governing report is known. If no governing report has been published 7 days after November 15, 2026, resolution may be delayed by up to 7 more days, and the first report published within that period governs; if none is published by then, this market will resolve at the last fair market price. If the station stops reporting during November 15, 2026 because it closes or relocates, this market will resolve at the last fair market price; no other station will be used. If the governing report gives a clearly erroneous value resulting from technical or operational error or from unauthorized interference, resolution may be delayed by up to 7 days for a corrected value, which will be used if published; otherwise the outcome will be determined under the Contract Outcome Review Process.

The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service Daily Climate Report for KNYC published here: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC