This market will settle to Yes if Andrew Oldham is the next person to formally assume the position of United States Supreme Court Justice between Contract Issuance and January 20, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from Andrew Oldham, the White House, and the United States Senate.
A person will be considered to assume the position of United States Supreme Court Justice when they are appointed to the role by the President and confirmed to the role by the Senate, or appointed to the role via a recess appointment.
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Next US Supreme Court Justice?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.
This market will settle to Yes if Andrew Oldham is the next person to formally assume the position of United States Supreme Court Justice between Contract Issuance and January 20, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from Andrew Oldham, the White House, and the United States Senate.
A person will be considered to assume the position of United States Supreme Court Justice when they are appointed to the role by the President and confirmed to the role by the Senate, or appointed to the role via a recess appointment.
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Next US Supreme Court Justice?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.