Highest temperature in NYC on August 8?
89 to 90
55%-12255¢1.818
89 to 90
Yes
1.82x
No
2.17x
88 or below
32%+21232¢3.125
88 or below
Yes
3.13x
No
1.45x
91 to 92
13%+66913¢7.692
91 to 92
Yes
7.69x
No
1.14x
93 to 94
2%+49002¢50.000
93 to 94
Yes
50.0x
No
1.01x
95 to 96
1%+99001¢100.000
95 to 96
Yes
100.0x
No
97 or above
1%+99001¢100.000
97 or above
Yes
100.0x
No
Will the highest temperature recorded at Central Park (KNYC) in New York City for 2026-08-08 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) be less than or equal to 88F? Outcome verified from NWS Climatological Report.
- Upcoming: Event startAug 8, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesAug 8, 2026 at 7:59 PM EDT
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Highest temperature in NYC on August 8?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Highest temperature in NYC on August 8?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.