Lowest temperature in NYC on November 11?
Lowest temperature in NYC on November 11?
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40 or below
–No price
40 or below
41 to 42
–No price
41 to 42
43 to 44
–No price
43 to 44
45 to 46
–No price
45 to 46
47 to 48
–No price
47 to 48
49 or above
–No price
49 or above
Will the lowest temperature recorded at Central Park (KNYC) in New York City for 2026-11-11 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) be less than or equal to 40F? Outcome verified from NWS Climatological Report.
- Upcoming: Event startNov 11, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesNov 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Lowest temperature in NYC on November 11?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Lowest temperature in NYC on November 11?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.