Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 8?
73 or below
87%-66987¢1.149
73 or below
Yes
1.15x
No
7.14x
74 to 75
9%+10119¢11.111
74 to 75
Yes
11.11x
No
1.09x
76 to 77
5%+19005¢20.000
76 to 77
Yes
20.0x
No
1.03x
78 to 79
3%+32333¢33.333
78 to 79
Yes
33.33x
No
1.01x
80 to 81
3%+32333¢33.333
80 to 81
Yes
33.33x
No
1.01x
82 or above
2%+49002¢50.000
82 or above
Yes
50.0x
No
1.01x
Will the highest temperature recorded at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) in San Francisco for 2026-08-08 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) be less than or equal to 73F? Outcome verified from NWS Climatological Report.
- Upcoming: Event startAug 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesAug 8, 2026 at 7:59 PM EDT
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 8?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 8?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.