Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 8?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 8?
86 or above
100%100¢1.000
Settled outcome: Yes
86 or above
Settled outcome: Yes
77 or below
0%0¢1,000,000.000
Settled outcome: No
77 or below
Settled outcome: No
78 to 79
0%0¢1,000,000.000
Settled outcome: No
78 to 79
Settled outcome: No
80 to 81
0%0¢1,000,000.000
Settled outcome: No
80 to 81
Settled outcome: No
82 to 83
0%0¢1,000,000.000
Settled outcome: No
82 to 83
Settled outcome: No
84 to 85
0%0¢1,000,000.000
Settled outcome: No
84 to 85
Settled outcome: No
Will the highest temperature recorded at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) in San Francisco for 2026-09-08 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) be less than or equal to 77F? Outcome verified from NWS Climatological Report.
- Completed: Event startSep 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT
- Completed: Market closesBy end of Sep 8, 2026
- Completed: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 8?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 8?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.